Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

94%
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45%
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YES if, no later than 06:00 on August 15, 2026 (Hawaii Standard Time), an official tropical-cyclone advisory from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) or the National Hurricane Center (NHC) explicitly names the system "Lala" (for example "Tropical Storm Lala" or "Subtropical Storm Lala"). Otherwise NO. If multiple agencies issue conflicting names, the first official advisory from a U.S. hurricane center (CPHC or NHC) that assigns "Lala" determines the outcome.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 8 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only five days to go, the clock's ticking. The latest advisories don’t suggest 'Lala' is on the table yet, so I'm betting it won't happen in time.

94%
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81%
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22%
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67%
+21% last 24h

41%
-5% last 24h

84%
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