Will Pacific 'Disturbance 1' get a storm name?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than August 17, 2026 the National Hurricane Center / NOAA issues an official advisory that assigns a tropical-storm or hurricane name to the system Bryan Norcross called "Disturbance 1". An advisory naming it 'Tropical Storm <name>' or 'Hurricane <name>' counts. If NHC/NOAA only issue an invest or a numbered tropical depression with no name, the market resolves NO. If NHC/NOAA later determine the named system originated from a different disturbance, the market follows their final determination.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

59%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

80

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 59% and NO 41%, based on 4 predictions and 80 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Pacific 'Disturbance 1' get a storm name?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Pacific 'Disturbance 1' get a storm name?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.