Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on any Hawaiian island?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 16, 2026, an operational advisory from the U.S. Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) or the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) explicitly states the center of Tropical Storm Moke made landfall on any named Hawaiian island, or if at least two independent major wire services or major news organisations (for example AP, Reuters, CBC/Radio‑Canada, BBC) explicitly report the storm's center made landfall by that deadline. Landfall must be explicit language saying the cyclone’s center crossed a coastline. Reports of impacts, surge, or onshore winds without such an explicit center statement do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 39 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

31%

Predictions made

39

Credits staked

1,088

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 17, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 31% and NO 69%, based on 39 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on any Hawaiian island?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on any Hawaiian island?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.