🔬Science
Closes Aug 11 · Results Aug 12
Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?
93%
+1% last 24h
6985 bets · 191.9K credits29
Details →
ScienceCloses Aug 31 · Results Oct 1
Will Sophie Adenot perform at least one spacewalk from the ISS?
62%
Stable · last 24h
📊 20 bettors💎 567 at stakeNEW
Your stake
💎10
Potential payout
—
🤖 Context
YES if, according to NASA or ESA mission logs, official EVA reports, or major wire services, Sophie Adenot exited the ISS airlock and conducted an extravehicular activity at any time on or after September 1, 2026 and no later than September 30, 2026. An attempted but aborted EVA where no crewmember exited the airlock resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 62%
- Predictions made
- 20
- Credits staked
- 567
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 7, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 31, 2026
- Expected resolution
- Oct 1, 2026
- Resolution source
- numerama.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
Add your take...- 🔥@mat.lpiBet Yes· 100 💎
Yes, August 25th
Related predictions
See all →🔬Science
Closes Aug 8 · Results Aug 11
Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.7 or greater occur in Indonesia?
16%
Stable · last 24h
154 bets · 4.2K credits1
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 13 · Results Aug 18
Will a cyclone named 'Hernan' make landfall on the Hawaiian Islands?
24%
Stable · last 24h
3 bets · 83 credits1
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 9 · Results Aug 10
Will Typhoon Dolphin make landfall in Zhejiang Province, China?
75%
Stable · last 24h
128 bets · 3K credits2
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 10 · Results Aug 11
Will the Autumn Lane Fire exceed 10,000 acres?
29%
-6% last 24h
10 bets · 125 credits1
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 9 · Results Aug 21
Will the North Atlantic basin, including the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, produce a tropical or subtropical cyclone?
63%
-2% last 24h
169 bets · 3K credits1
Details →