Will Atlantic tropical cyclone Fay reach hurricane strength?

🤖 Context

YES if an official operational tropical cyclone advisory or public advisory explicitly states that the cyclone named Fay reached hurricane strength (Saffir–Simpson Category 1 or higher, i.e. sustained 1‑minute winds of at least 64 knots) no later than 00:00 on October 1, 2026. Examples include operational advisories from the U.S. National Hurricane Center for the Atlantic basin or advisories from other official agencies. If any official operational advisory using the name Fay classifies it as a hurricane before the deadline, the market resolves YES. Otherwise the market resolves NO, including if the system was never named Fay in official advisories.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 782 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

782

Credits staked

19,891

Comments

6

Opened

Sep 21, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 782 predictions and 19.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Atlantic tropical cyclone Fay reach hurricane strength?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Atlantic tropical cyclone Fay reach hurricane strength?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.