Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Kauai, Molokai, or Lanai?

🤖 Context

YES if the storm's center is reported to have made landfall on any of those main Hawaiian Islands no later than 00:00 on September 23, 2026 according to operational advisories from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center. Multiple reputable local or international news reports explicitly saying "made landfall" also suffice. Near-misses or reports of heavy impacts without an explicit agency or major-news "made landfall" statement do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 3184 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

3,184

Credits staked

98,015

Comments

55

Opened

Sep 20, 2026

Closes

Sep 23, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 23, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 23, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 23, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 3184 predictions and 98K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Kauai, Molokai, or Lanai?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Kauai, Molokai, or Lanai?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.