Will Bertha make landfall on the U.S. mainland as a tropical storm or hurricane?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 PM EDT on September 24, 2026, the National Hurricane Center or equivalent authoritative sources report that the center of the tropical cyclone identified as Bertha crossed the coastline of the contiguous United States while the system was classified by the NHC as a tropical cyclone (tropical storm or hurricane). Preferably this is reported in NHC public advisories, NHC landfall or track statements, or the NHC Tropical Cyclone Report, but major news agencies quoting the NHC are also acceptable. If the center crosses after the system was classified only as extratropical or as a remnant low, that does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 564 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

564

Credits staked

18,640

Comments

6

Opened

Sep 18, 2026

Closes

Sep 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 24, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 564 predictions and 18.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Bertha make landfall on the U.S. mainland as a tropical storm or hurricane?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Bertha make landfall on the U.S. mainland as a tropical storm or hurricane?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.