Will France’s national thermal indicator (ITN) be below 23.4°C on all three days?

🤖 Context

YES if the national thermal indicator (ITN) value published for 16 September 2026, for 17 September 2026 and for 18 September 2026 is strictly less than 23.4°C on each of those three calendar dates according to Météo‑France. If Météo‑France does not publish an ITN for any of these dates, the resolver may accept ITN values clearly reported by major independent French news organisations (e.g. AFP, Le Monde, Franceinfo, TF1) that explicitly cite Météo‑France. An exact published value of 23.4°C is not below 23.4°C and therefore causes the market to resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 116 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

22%

Predictions made

116

Credits staked

3,541

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 19, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 22% and NO 78%, based on 116 predictions and 3.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will France’s national thermal indicator (ITN) be below 23.4°C on all three days?” real-money betting?

No. “Will France’s national thermal indicator (ITN) be below 23.4°C on all three days?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.