Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the generic congressional ballot on Oct 15?

🤖 Context

YES if VoteHub's national "2026 generic congressional ballot" polling aggregate (the trailing 30-day average) for October 15, 2026 shows the Republican Party's percentage strictly greater than the Democratic Party's percentage, otherwise NO. • Use VoteHub's national trailing 30-day average published for October 15, 2026. If VoteHub's page shows a value explicitly labelled "as of Oct 15, 2026", use that figure. Other reputable national polling aggregators or major news outlets may be used only if VoteHub provides no Oct 15 reading. • Ties at the published precision count as NO. If VoteHub explicitly discontinues the 2026 generic ballot or provides no Oct 15 reading and no credible public reporting shows a clear party lead for that date, resolve NO. • Source: VoteHub

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 506 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

46%

Predictions made

506

Credits staked

13,212

Comments

2

Opened

Oct 1, 2026

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 16, 2026

Resolution source

votehub.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 46% and NO 54%, based on 506 predictions and 13.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against votehub.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the generic congressional ballot on Oct 15?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats on the generic congressional ballot on Oct 15?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.