Will Die Linke be named a coalition partner and have at least one member sworn into Berlin's new Senate?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, a publicly announced coalition agreement names Die Linke as a coalition partner and the new Berlin Senate is sworn in with at least one senator who is a Die Linke member. Credible reporting by at least two independent national or regional news outlets is sufficient, and preferred authoritative sources are the Abgeordnetenhaus vote record and a Senatskanzlei press release. If Die Linke is named but no Die Linke member is sworn in by the deadline, or if the government formation is annulled or the election is invalidated, resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 402 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

72%

Predictions made

402

Credits staked

7,415

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 72% and NO 28%, based on 402 predictions and 7.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Die Linke be named a coalition partner and have at least one member sworn into Berlin's new Senate?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Die Linke be named a coalition partner and have at least one member sworn into Berlin's new Senate?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.