Will the Falcon 9 for Transporter‑18 clear the pad and lift off from Vandenberg on October 1?

90%
Stable · last 24h

17%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, for any match pairing named in the wetter.com article and scheduled on 9, 10, or 11 October 2026, an official match organiser (the hosting club, the DFL, or the DFB) issues a public statement on the scheduled matchday that the match was postponed, abandoned or cancelled, or that the official kick-off was delayed by more than 15 minutes, and explicitly attributes that change to weather (for example heavy rain, lightning, extreme wind, hail, or dense fog). If no organiser statement exists, the same finding must be corroborated by at least two independent reputable German news outlets (for example dpa, ARD, ZDF, Kicker). Delays or interruptions explicitly attributed to non-weather causes (security, power failure, crowd problems, infrastructure) do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 17%, based on 402 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the upcoming dates, it's very likely we'll see at least one match affected by weather. The Bundesliga is notorious for this, and conditions in October can change rapidly.

90%
Stable · last 24h

89%
Stable · last 24h

91%
Stable · last 24h

88%
Stable · last 24h

90%
+1% last 24h

57%
+1% last 24h
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