Will all members of a single Bundestag parliamentary group be excluded from a Bundestag plenary session?

🤖 Context

YES if the Bundestag President Julia Klöckner or the Bundestag Presidium issues an official order at a Bundestag plenary session between 12:01 UTC on September 29, 2026 and no later than October 13, 2026 (inclusive) that excludes every listed member of one named, recognized Bundestag parliamentary group (Fraktion) from that plenary session, otherwise NO. • The order must apply to all listed members of a single named Fraktion for that plenary session. Orders targeting individual MPs do not count. • An exclusion that is later reversed the same day still counts as YES. • Source: Bundestag Plenarprotokoll; Bundestag press release; or at least two independent national or international news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spiegel.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 487 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

487

Credits staked

13,747

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 29, 2026

Closes

Oct 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 14, 2026

Resolution source

spiegel.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 487 predictions and 13.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spiegel.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will all members of a single Bundestag parliamentary group be excluded from a Bundestag plenary session?” real-money betting?

No. “Will all members of a single Bundestag parliamentary group be excluded from a Bundestag plenary session?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.