Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the next French national poll?

🤖 Context

YES if the poll that appears as the top-most row of the main voting-intention table on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election" as it exists on the web at 00:00 CET on 27 November 2026 reports Raphaël Glucksmann's numeric vote-share percentage strictly greater than Édouard Philippe's, otherwise NO. • Top-most row means the poll in that table with the latest fieldwork end date. If multiple polls share that same end date, use the row listed first. • If the top-most poll row omits either candidate, shows a non-numeric marker (for example '-' or a range), or reports equal percentages for the two candidates, the market resolves NO. • Source: Wikipedia — page "Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election".

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 260 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

43%

Predictions made

260

Credits staked

11,805

Comments

2

Opened

Nov 12, 2026

Closes

Nov 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 26, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 43% and NO 57%, based on 260 predictions and 11.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the next French national poll?” real-money betting?

No. “Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the next French national poll?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.