Spain
Live prediction markets about Spain. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
63%
crowd accuracy
169/268
right calls
20
open questions
Biggest miss
Will a Spanish man be one of the men's singles semifinalists at the 2026 US Open?
NoThe crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 21
33%
Yes
Open questions20
- Celeste: Will Season 2 premiere on Movistar Plus in Spain on November 19?Closes Nov 18 · Results Nov 1925 predictions90%Yes
- Will the 'ley de nietos' be declared constitutional and restore voting rights to people naturalised under it?Closes Dec 3125 predictions50%Yes
- La Voz: Will Charlotte Summers still be competing on 8 November?Closes Oct 29 · Results Nov 919 predictions75%Yes
- Will the PP and Vox publicly announce they are in formal talks or programmatic negotiations to form or support a national government?Closes Nov 29 · Results Nov 3019 predictions38%Yes
- Will Spain's Defence Ministry send a formal written reply to Judge María Tardón about whether Moroccan military ships entered Spanish waters off Ceuta?Closes Nov 1817 predictions71%Yes
- Will a final judgment resolving appeals against the 'ley de nietos' be published?Results Jan 2417 predictions61%Yes
- Will the identities of the 163,020 people covered by the 'ley de nietos' be submitted to Spain's Supreme Court?Results Oct 2985 predictions85%Yes
- Will the Madrid regional government or its president hold a public meeting with teachers' unions to discuss the ongoing teachers' strike?Results Nov 320 predictions38%Yes
How it turned out269
- Will at least 385 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late since midnight?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 9 - Will Spain search for more video games than health on Google on August 7?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8 - Will the PP have a higher vote share than PSOE in the most recent poll on August 8?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 7 - Will Spain Google the weather more than politics on August 6?Yes
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 7 - Will more than 80,000 migrants have left Ceuta for Morocco since the mass entry?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 7 - Will Sara Gilson’s husband be detained or arrested and formally charged in connection with her death before 12:00 on August 6, 2026?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Will any AEMET station in Spain record a daily high of at least 42.0°C on Sunday, August 2, 2026?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 6 - Will Spain Google-search more health than travel trending topics on August 5?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Will 'LA GRACIOSA' by Quevedo & Elvis Crespo be #1 on Apple Music Spain's Most Played chart at 13:00 UTC on Wednesday, August 5, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Spain Google-search more politics than video games on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5