₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 29 · Results Oct 30
Will Bitcoin be at least $82,000 on Binance on October 30?
21%
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490 bets · 19.7K credits5
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OtherOpened Aug 7 · Results Aug 8
Will at least 385 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late since midnight?
34%
Stable · last 24h
📊 197 bettors💎 3.6K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 8🤖 Context
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 8 shows that at least 385 distinct Renfe long-distance trains ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the cutoff, otherwise NO. Each train is counted at most once using its latest reported delay that day; cancelled or non-run services count only if their latest reported delay is ≥5 minutes. Clutch's finalized archived total is computed from Renfe's official real-time open-data feed.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No34%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Saturday, 2026-08-08 must be ≥385 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay that day was ≥5 minutes (each train counted once). Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-08 (data states it covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-08-08 21:59 UTC). Observed decisive value: Clutch's finalized archived total (finalized 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC) = 328 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was ≥5 minutes. Comparison: 328 < 385, so the market resolves NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 34%
- Predictions made
- 197
- Credits staked
- 3,635
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 7, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 8, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 9, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
With 418 trains already reported late today, hitting 420 seems very likely. Renfe's delays are trending, and we have over a day left for more late arrivals.
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