Will at least 385 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late since midnight?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 8 shows that at least 385 distinct Renfe long-distance trains ran 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the cutoff, otherwise NO. Each train is counted at most once using its latest reported delay that day; cancelled or non-run services count only if their latest reported delay is ≥5 minutes. Clutch's finalized archived total is computed from Renfe's official real-time open-data feed.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

57%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

160

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 8, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 57% and NO 43%, based on 8 predictions and 160 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 385 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late since midnight?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 385 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late since midnight?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.