🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
95%
Stable · last 24h
822 bets · 32.3K credits16
Details →Reuters
Live prediction markets about Reuters. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
69%
crowd accuracy
59/86
right calls
12
open questions
Biggest miss
Liga MX: will Cruz Azul be in the top 6 of the table?
NoThe crowd was 79% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 25
95%
Yes
Open questions12
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
73%
Stable · last 24h
503 bets · 19.8K credits6
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will John Sununu win New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election?
27%
Stable · last 24h
412 bets · 6.1K credits1
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will Canada and the US publicly announce a binding bilateral deal that resolves their outstanding tariffs?
34%
Stable · last 24h
403 bets · 7.2K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will a law retroactively apply to donations from British expats and force parties to return them?
18%
Stable · last 24h
402 bets · 7.1K credits1
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How it turned out86
- Will all official West Bank–Israel crossings be closed to Palestinian workers and to pedestrian and vehicle traffic for the entire election day?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 28 - Will Green Party leaders publicly disown the conference vote that said "Zionism is racism"?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 26 - Will the Rassemblement National hold at least one in-person session inside Orléans?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 26 - Premier League: will at least one penalty be awarded across matches from 23 to 25 October?Yes
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 25 - Will any U.S. state sue California over the law that says other states must get the governor's permission before sending their National Guard into California?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 24 - Will Northern Ireland's First Minister O'Neill resign from office?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will the U.S. envoy to Greece be fired or resign?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) be among the top 5 US-listed companies by market cap?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 19 - Liga MX: will at least 3 red cards be shown across all matches from 16 to 18 October?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 19 - Will a strike attributed to Russian forces hit power or energy infrastructure in Kyiv or Kyiv region?Yes
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 18