Will land inside Yosemite National Park be transferred or leased to allow private development?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than November 1, 2026, two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that the Department of the Interior, the National Park Service, or another federal agency has issued a formal, binding decision (for example: a signed conveyance instrument, a finalized long-term lease granting development rights, a Record of Decision/Final EIS with a Federal Register notice, or a signed agreement) that transfers title to, or grants a long-term lease or development rights permitting private construction or development on land located within the statutory boundaries of Yosemite National Park, as described in the San.com article. Preferred verification includes DOI or NPS public documents or a Federal Register notice, but reporting from outlets such as AP, Reuters, or the New York Times is sufficient. Routine short-term concession contracts, standard visitor-service permits, research permits, or actions limited to lands outside Yosemite’s statutory boundaries do not count as YES. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 420 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

420

Credits staked

8,287

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Oct 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 2, 2026

Resolution source

san.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 420 predictions and 8.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against san.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will land inside Yosemite National Park be transferred or leased to allow private development?” real-money betting?

No. “Will land inside Yosemite National Park be transferred or leased to allow private development?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.