Popocatépetl
Live prediction markets about Popocatépetl. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
55%
crowd accuracy
16/29
right calls
Biggest miss
The crowd was 86% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
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See open questionsHow it turned out30
- Will Popocatépetl produce volcanic ashfall in Mexico City or Estado de México?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 20 - Was volcanic ash observed falling in Mexico City during the Popocatépetl 'Aviso Especial' on October 5?No
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 6 - Will Popocatépetl cause ashfall in any municipality of Puebla on October 2?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will Popocatépetl cause ashfall in southwest Puebla?No
The crowd was 86% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 25 - Will Volcán Popocatépetl produce ashfall in any part of Morelos, Mexico?Yes
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 18 - Will Popocatépetl produce at least one exhalation containing volcanic ash?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 16 - Will Popocatépetl produce an emission with volcanic ash?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 14 - Will volcanic ash from Popocatépetl be reported in Mexico City?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 14 - Will Popocatépetl emit volcanic ash in an exhalation or explosion?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 14 - Will Popocatépetl produce ashfall in the State of Mexico, Tlaxcala, or Hidalgo?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 12