🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Oct 27
Will the tropical cyclone 'Depresión Tropical Veintidós-E' make landfall on the Mexican coast?
60%
Stable · last 24h
6 bets · 370 credits1
Details →National Hurricane Center
Live prediction markets about National Hurricane Center. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
73%
crowd accuracy
65/89
right calls
3
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the low-pressure area off Mexico's southern Pacific coast become a tropical cyclone?
NoThe crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will the tropical cyclone 'Depresión Tropical Veintidós-E' make landfall on the Mexican coast?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 21
60%
Yes
Open questions3
🌦️Science·WeatherResults Oct 26
Will the coastal storm Fox Weather calls a 'Fall nor'easter' be classified as a subtropical storm?
29%
Stable · last 24h
2 bets · 125 credits1
Details →🌦️Science·WeatherResults Oct 26
Will the low between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda become a nor'easter that impacts Nova Scotia, Newfoundland and Labrador, Prince Edward Island, or New Brunswick?
67%
Stable · last 24h
1 bet · 10 credits1
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How it turned out89
- Will tropical cyclone Trudy reach Category 1 (hurricane) strength?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will Nolo be a hurricane?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will Isaias' remnants bring measurable rain to Southern Ontario (including the Golden Horseshoe and Windsor)?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 12 - Will 'Depresión Tropical Nueve' make landfall in Mexico?No
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 10 - Will the storm Fox Weather calls Invest 99E become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will tropical cyclone Nolo reach Category 3 (major hurricane) intensity?Yes
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 8 - Will Hurricane Nolo reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 5 intensity?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 7 - Will Tropical Cyclone Rachel reach Saffir–Simpson Category 2 or higher?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 2 - Will no Atlantic tropical cyclone reach hurricane strength?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will Invest 99E make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast or on the Baja California peninsula?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 30