The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 30Hurricane
TopicWeather
Live prediction markets about Hurricane. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
25%
of calls the crowd got right
4
markets settled
The crowd called 1 of 4 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
No open questions on this topic right now — check back soon.
How it turned out
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 18Will Tropical Depression Seven‑E be a Category 3 hurricane at 6:00 AM Mexico time on July 27, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 27