Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?

91%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h
YES if measurable rainfall is reported in Southern Ontario and explicitly attributed to the remnants or moisture plume of Hurricane Isaias no later than October 12, 2026, otherwise NO. • Includes the portion of Ontario commonly referred to as Southern Ontario, including the Golden Horseshoe and Windsor. • Attribution must be explicit, for example 'brought by Isaias', 'associated with Isaias' remnants', or 'moisture from Isaias'. • Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), or at least two independent major Canadian or international news organizations (for example CBC/Radio-Canada, CTV, Global News, The Canadian Press, AP, Reuters).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 47%, based on 23 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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91%
Stable · last 24h

51%
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50%
Stable · last 24h

47%
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55%
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42%
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