Will Invest 99E or the storm that forms from it make landfall on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California peninsula?

37%
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73%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Oct 1YES if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or an equivalent official advisory service issues an operational advisory no later than September 30, 2026 that classifies the tropical cyclone which the NHC had designated Invest 99E as Saffir–Simpson Category 3 or higher at any time. If the system is renumbered, the ruling applies to the cyclone identified in NHC operational products as the evolution of Invest 99E. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 96 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt is very likely
With the NHC's timeline and current trends, there's a solid chance Invest 99E could escalate to a Category 3. Keep an eye on those operational advisories.

37%
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76%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

69%
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33%
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30%
Stable · last 24h
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