Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?Results Oct 30342 predictions36%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 3049 predictions15%Yes
- Liga MX: Will Pumas UNAM be above Puebla in the table on October 31?Results Oct 318 predictions67%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Natalia Alcocer be on the Week 8 'Tabla de Nominados'?Results Oct 313 predictions74%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 302 predictions80%Yes
- Will the Chamber of Deputies debate or vote on reforms to the Ley de Inversión Extranjera or on forest certificate rules?Results Oct 312 predictions60%Yes
- Will official documents about Talleres Gráficos de México's contracts and activities since this administration took office be published?Results Nov 221 prediction62%Yes
How it turned out401
- Will tropical cyclone Hernan make landfall anywhere in Mexico, including islands and the Baja California Peninsula?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 18 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 24 °C on August 17?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will a new-release film debuting in Mexico be #1 at the weekend box office?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will Mexico's Chamber of Deputies adopt and publish 'Lineamientos para la protección de las audiencias' as an Acuerdo, Dictamen, or recorded session-minute vote no later than August 14, 2026?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will Kenia López Rabadán present her legislative activity report to the Chamber of Deputies on August 17?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 25 °C on August 16?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 17 - Will 'Depresión Tropical Ocho-E' make landfall in Mexico on the mainland or its islands?No
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 17 - Will Mexico City's daily high be at least 22 °C on August 14?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 15 - Will volcanic ash from Popocatépetl fall in Mexico City or Estado de México?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will UNAM's examen de control be stopped for any named aspirant?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14