Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?Results Oct 30342 predictions36%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 3049 predictions15%Yes
- Liga MX: Will Pumas UNAM be above Puebla in the table on October 31?Results Oct 318 predictions67%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Natalia Alcocer be on the Week 8 'Tabla de Nominados'?Results Oct 313 predictions74%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 302 predictions80%Yes
- Will the Chamber of Deputies debate or vote on reforms to the Ley de Inversión Extranjera or on forest certificate rules?Results Oct 312 predictions60%Yes
- Will official documents about Talleres Gráficos de México's contracts and activities since this administration took office be published?Results Nov 221 prediction62%Yes
How it turned out401
- Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 19 °C on August 23?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 24 - Will anyone be publicly named 'coordinador estatal' (state coordinator) to run Morena's campaign for any 2027 governorship?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 22 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 24 °C on August 21?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 22 - Will any announced in-person 'Examen de Control Presencial' session in León, Oaxaca, Tijuana, or Mexico City be blocked by a federal court order?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 21 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 23 °C on August 20?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 21 - Will the PlayStation Store charge accounts registered in Mexico in Mexican pesos (MXN) on or after August 20, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 20 - Will the in-person 'examen de control' take place in all four scheduled cities for the 2026 admissions contest?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 20 - Will the Comisión Permanente meet in a formal session on August 19?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19 - Will Popocatépetl produce at least one exhalation or eruption with ash?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 19 - Will Popocatépetl ash fall in the Mexico City metro on August 18?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 19