Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will 'Suzuki' by Fuerza Regida be #1 on Apple Music Mexico's Most Played songs chart?Closes Nov 2 · Results Nov 41 prediction69%Yes
- Will a formal public review, audit, or administrative investigation of the voter-credential production contract be launched?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 11 prediction41%Yes
- Will the SNTSS convene and hold an Extraordinary National Congress to consider renewing its leadership?Closes Dec 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Gas Natural del Noroeste or its executives face formal criminal charges over the 59 million‑litre Guanajuato fuel seizure?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 41 prediction67%Yes
- Will a final ruling resolve an INE workers' labor lawsuit over the 2027 pay changes?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Mexicable Line 3 (Naucalpan–Metro Cuatro Caminos) start regular commercial service?Closes Apr 11 prediction68%Yes
- Will IMSS publicly propose or agree to a 2026 sueldo tabular increase greater than 2.9%?Closes Nov 160 predictions48%Yes
- Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar file a formal 'daño moral' complaint naming Santiago Taboada?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 20 predictions24%Yes
- Will dredging or construction at Vaso II of Laguna de Cuyutlán (Puerto Nuevo Manzanillo) be halted by a provisional suspension (amparo)?Closes Jan 10 predictions33%Yes
- Will Tatiana Clouthier publicly declare she is a candidate for Governor of Nuevo León?Closes Mar 210 predictions48%Yes
- Will Andrés Manuel López Beltrán (Andy) be formally named in a criminal investigation or charged?Results Dec 1419 predictions25%Yes
- Will Mexico be declared free of illiteracy?Results Jan 1411 predictions56%Yes
How it turned out401
- Will 'Te Estoy Correteando' by LATIN MAFIA & Fred again.. still be the #1 most‑played song on Apple Music Mexico on August 12?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will at least one named person be formally charged or 'vinculado a proceso' in Valentín Gavin Romero's homicide and published on the FGE website by Aug 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will tropical cyclone Elida make landfall on the Baja California peninsula or mainland Mexico?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will in-person classes be suspended in the Valley of Mexico and the Megalópolis on August 8?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any municipality in Sinaloa order evacuations or close in-person schools because of rain or flooding?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will Mexico google Cynthia Rodríguez more than Angélica Rivera on August 11?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any film flagged 'New This Week' debut at #1 on Mexico's weekend box office?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?Yes
The crowd was 97% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico City's high temperature on 10 August reach at least 21 °C?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico google Scarlett Johansson more than Salma Hayek on August 10?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11