Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

93%
+1% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than 12:00 PM on August 8, 2026 (UTC−5), a state or municipal education authority or the relevant state/municipal government in the Valley of Mexico or the Megalópolis issues an official announcement (press release, official website post, or official social‑media post) suspending in‑person classes for any schools, boroughs, or municipalities for August 8, 2026 and explicitly cites heavy rains, flooding, or hazardous weather linked to the monsoon/onda tropical/SMN forecast. Preferably this comes from Mexico City or Estado de México education authorities or Protección Civil, and two or more independent national news outlets quoting the official authority also suffice, but individual school‑level or informal notices not issued or ratified by the municipal or state education authority do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's likely that classes will be canceled, given the serious weather warnings we've seen. Authorities usually err on the side of caution with heavy rain and flooding.

93%
+1% last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h

24%
Stable · last 24h
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