Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
248/400
right calls
68
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions68
- Will Nintendo cut the price of any Nintendo Switch Online tier in Mexico?Closes Dec 1408 predictions46%Yes
- Will a construction schedule with a specific day‑month‑year start or end date be published for the Line 12 Metro expansion?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3408 predictions12%Yes
- Will any defendant in the Segalmex investigations be finally convicted in Mexican courts?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 3407 predictions37%Yes
- Will at least one sitting member of the INE Consejo General receive a one-time cash payment equal to their 2027 salary reduction?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 16407 predictions38%Yes
- Will Mexico's enacted 2027 budget give SEDENA more total funding than SEMAR?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 1406 predictions39%Yes
- Will the INE's 2027 Manual of Remunerations or its tabulator be annulled, suspended, or ordered changed?Closes Nov 16406 predictions17%Yes
- Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales be publicly removed as Morena coordinator in Nuevo León?Closes Jan 1406 predictions27%Yes
- Will Mexico's 2027 federal budget be approved?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 16405 predictions39%Yes
- Will Morena and the Partido Verde (PVEM) publicly say they'll run together as a coalition in Mexico City for the 2027 elections?Closes Jan 1405 predictions84%Yes
- Will Mexico ban people with dual nationality from running for President or any state Governor?Closes Jan 1405 predictions38%Yes
- Will the INE's 2027 pay changes take effect?Closes Jan 1405 predictions67%Yes
- Will Manuel Roberto Farías Laguna or Fernando Farías Laguna be taken into custody or have an official Mexican arrest warrant issued?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 1404 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out400
- Will at least one named person be formally charged or 'vinculado a proceso' in Valentín Gavin Romero's homicide and published on the FGE website by Aug 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will tropical cyclone Elida make landfall on the Baja California peninsula or mainland Mexico?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will in-person classes be suspended in the Valley of Mexico and the Megalópolis on August 8?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any municipality in Sinaloa order evacuations or close in-person schools because of rain or flooding?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will Mexico google Cynthia Rodríguez more than Angélica Rivera on August 11?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will any film flagged 'New This Week' debut at #1 on Mexico's weekend box office?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?Yes
The crowd was 97% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico City's high temperature on 10 August reach at least 21 °C?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 11 - Will Mexico google Scarlett Johansson more than Salma Hayek on August 10?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 11 - Will Cinépolis sell a 'menu temático' VIP package for the 25th‑anniversary Harry Potter re‑release on August 10 in Mexico?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 10