Will the INE's 2027 pay changes take effect?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 19:01 UTC on October 5, 2026 and no later than December 31, 2026, the TEPJF issues one or more final public judgments that explicitly uphold or leave in force the INE's 2027 remuneration/tabulator changes by denying or rejecting workers' legal challenges. Otherwise NO. • Final judgments must explicitly state that the workers' challenges were denied so the INE measures will take effect. • Interim, interlocutory, or procedural orders that only postpone or suspend implementation do not count. • Source: Tribunal Electoral del Poder Judicial de la Federación (TEPJF) or two or more independent Mexican national news outlets (for example Expansión Política, El Universal, Reforma, Milenio).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 405 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

405

Credits staked

8,077

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 5, 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 405 predictions and 8.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the INE's 2027 pay changes take effect?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the INE's 2027 pay changes take effect?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.