Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
Stable · last 24h

25%
-1% last 24h
YES if, on or after 19:01:35 UTC on October 7, 2026 and no later than December 31, 2026 (inclusive), two or more independent national or regional news outlets report that Morena's national leadership has publicly announced it has withdrawn, rescinded, or replaced its designation of Clara Luz Flores Carrales as Morena coordinator in Nuevo León. Otherwise NO. • The reports must quote an explicit on-the-record statement or a Morena press release confirming the withdrawal, rescission, or replacement. • Reports that the party is only considering changes or are internal rumours do not count. • Source: two or more independent national or regional news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 25%, based on 149 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the strict requirements for confirming her removal, it seems highly unlikely that two independent sources will report this clearly. I'm betting against it.

12%
Stable · last 24h

60%
-9% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy