🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
65%
+7% last 24h
716 bets · 25.4K credits12
Details →Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
78/115
right calls
27
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?
YesThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 23
65%
Yes
Open questions27
📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Android 18 be announced?
75%
Stable · last 24h
482 bets · 13.9K credits6
Details →📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Nov 1
Will the Fitbit Air Metal Mesh band start shipping to US customers?
31%
Stable · last 24h
424 bets · 8.1K credits1
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🎥People·CreatorsCloses Nov 1
Will MrBeast post on his official YouTube channel a public video that promotes Google's "Gemini" or is marked as a paid promotion for Google/Gemini?
54%
Stable · last 24h
418 bets · 7.9K credits2
Details →🤖Tech·AICloses Nov 1
Will the 'CC' family AI be available to all U.S. personal Gmail users without a waitlist or invitation?
55%
Stable · last 24h
408 bets · 8.2K credits2
Details →- Will OpenAI, Anthropic and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet publish one joint, signed statement committing to coordinate on pacing or to shared limits on AI capability development?Closes Nov 1406 predictions41%Yes
- Will YouTube remove the visible dislike button from the main video controls on desktop for all users?Closes Nov 21 · Results Nov 22363 predictions11%Yes
- Will the open-source bug bounty program Google froze on Oct 4, 2026 be resumed?Closes Nov 5362 predictions47%Yes
- Will Gemini be the top AI on Oct 31?Closes Oct 31334 predictions59%Yes
- Will Google Assistant no longer be available on Google Nest and Google Home smart speakers and displays?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1282 predictions26%Yes
- Will the Pixel phone support page default to the AI 'Ask Google Help' chatbot?Closes Dec 1268 predictions76%Yes
- Will the Fitbit Edge be available to buy on October 27?Closes Oct 27223 predictions92%Yes
How it turned out115
- Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 7 - Will the United States Google more tech than travel trending topics on August 6?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 7 - Will the United States Google more "video games" than "the weather" on August 5?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Will Google searches in France be more about politics than the weather on August 5?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 6 - Will anyone in France be more googled than Kavinsky on August 4 in the entertainment, celebrity and gaming category?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will the US google 'politics' more than 'the weather' on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will NVIDIA be the world's second-largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee hold its hearing with tech CEOs on social media’s risks to children by July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 2