Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
78/115
right calls
27
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?
YesThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 23
64%
Yes
Open questions27
- Will Google’s Gemini-powered audio smart glasses ship before December 31, 2026?Results Dec 3138 predictions76%Yes
- Will NVIDIA’s Vera CPU be adopted by a major cloud provider by the end of 2026?Results Jan 518 predictions27%Yes
- Will the Blackstone‑Google TPU cloud venture be serving enterprise customers by December 31, 2026?Results Jan 110 predictions44%Yes
How it turned out115
- Will Google's market share be above 22.5%?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 5 - Will Google's market share be above 20.8%?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 5 - Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?No
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Transporter‑18 put Google's Suncatcher MVP into orbit on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will another 'Gemini Robotics 2.0' model be publicly available?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will an official downloadable OTA or factory image with build CP41.260814.003.C2 be published for at least one Pixel 11‑series device?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Android TVs and vehicles with Google built‑in get exact calendar dates to switch to Gemini-only?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Google let eligible U.S. college students claim one free year of Google AI Pro?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Google release the next Gemini Pro model?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 1 - Will Google release the next Gemini Pro model?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1