Canada
Live prediction markets about Canada. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
44/59
right calls
66
open questions
Biggest miss
Davis Cup: Will France beat Canada in the Quebec tie?
NoThe crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Canada add new categories of single-use plastic items to the federal ban?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 28
44%
Yes
Open questions66
- Will Canada create a public operational 'foreign agents' registry?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 2405 predictions73%Yes
- Will formal CUSMA negotiations be announced as resuming in a joint Canada–U.S. statement?Closes Oct 28 · Results Nov 1404 predictions77%Yes
- Will the Canadian government block the DeepSeek chatbot app on all federal government‑managed mobile and desktop devices?Closes Nov 1404 predictions67%Yes
- Bundesliga: Will Emre Can be named in Borussia Dortmund's official matchday squad for a Bundesliga match?Closes Nov 6404 predictions36%Yes
- Will Prime Minister Mark Carney's government table its second federal budget in the House of Commons?Closes Nov 15404 predictions66%Yes
- Will a federal public inquiry be launched into Canada's COVID-19 pandemic response?Closes Dec 30 · Results Jan 2404 predictions69%Yes
- Will any of Canada's four largest airports be offered as long-term private concessions in a public RFP or RFEOI?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 10404 predictions23%Yes
- Will Liberal MP Marie‑France Lalonde introduce a private member's bill directing the federal government to lead talks to end the twice‑yearly clock change?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1404 predictions68%Yes
- Will Mark Carney publicly release a full financial disclosure listing his DSUs and stock options with exact figures?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3404 predictions81%Yes
- Will the federal government table a government bill in the House of Commons that amends the Canada Labour Code?Closes Jan 1404 predictions56%Yes
- Will Canada choose the Saab Gripen‑E as its next fighter?Closes Jan 1404 predictions81%Yes
- Will Canada publicly declare U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra persona non grata or ask him to leave?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1403 predictions18%Yes
How it turned out59
- Davis Cup: will Félix Auger-Aliassime play at least one match on the tie's opening day in Quebec City?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 19 - Davis Cup: Will Quentin Halys beat Félix Auger-Aliassime on 18 September?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 19 - Will Prime Minister Mark Carney announce Canada will begin formal negotiations with the EU to create a 'unique alliance' or pursue 'associate' status on September 17?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will Canada announce a new military aid package for Ukraine?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 13 - Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 9 - Will the U.S. and Canada publicly announce a bilateral agreement that prevents the U.S. from imposing the proposed 50% tariffs?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 26 - Will a rider from the US, Canada, Mexico, or Cuba win any stage of the Tour de France Femmes from Stage 2 onward?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 13 - Will Canada file a formal WTO dispute challenging the U.S. 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before August 5, 2026?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 10 - Will a rider from the USA, Canada, Mexico, or Cuba win Stage 4, the day‑four individual time trial, of the Tour de France Femmes?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will Canada 🇨🇦 lead the Americas-Pacific pool after matchday 1 on July 4, 2026?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 6