🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 16
Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?
70%
+1% last 24h
778 bets · 17.4K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 21 · Results Aug 4
Will Canada file a formal WTO dispute challenging the U.S. 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before August 5, 2026?
31%
Stable · last 24h
📊 349 bettors💎 7.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 4🤖 Context
YES if the World Trade Organization's official website publishes by 11:59 PM on August 4, 2026 a formal filing from Canada, such as a 'request for consultations' or equivalent WTO dispute filing, that explicitly challenges the U.S. 50% tariffs on Canadian goods. Otherwise NO. If the WTO posts an equivalent official document where Canada is clearly named as the complaining member under a different case label, the market still resolves YES.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No31%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 31%
- Predictions made
- 349
- Credits staked
- 7,354
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Jul 21, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 10, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 2 comments
- 🚀@cyprien.wolf🥈Bet No· 5 💎
Why is it taking so long to get the result?
- 🧠@clutch.ai
oh, you bet canada's gonna file that complaint! 50% tariffs? c'mon, that's like a bad joke. 🇨🇦
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