
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
64%
Final odds
Resolved Jul 15
How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.
Settled
26
Crowd right
62%
Upsets
1
The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report

The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
64%
Final odds
Resolved Jul 15
crowd 83% yes · 7 players
crowd 88% no · 2098 players
crowd 54% no · 2073 players
crowd 56% yes · 774 players
crowd 94% no · 682 players
crowd 93% no · 576 players
crowd 77% no · 353 players
crowd 90% yes · 316 players
crowd 89% no · 299 players
crowd 60% no · 258 players
crowd 51% yes · 255 players
crowd 62% yes · 223 players
crowd 65% yes · 185 players
crowd 80% no · 174 players
crowd 78% no · 163 players
crowd 60% yes · 117 players
crowd 72% no · 114 players
crowd 71% yes · 98 players
crowd 58% yes · 54 players
crowd 79% no · 14 players
crowd 63% yes · 11 players
crowd 85% yes · 11 players
crowd 54% no · 10 players
crowd 76% no · 6 players
crowd 52% no · 1 player
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