🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 10 · Results Aug 11
Will the US and Iran both publicly announce a mutual ceasefire by Aug 10, 2026?
13%
-1% last 24h
4794 bets · 116.1K credits16
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 15
Will Emmanuel Macron's approval rating exceed 30% in the July 2026 poll?
14%
Stable · last 24h
📊 2102 bettors💎 41.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 15🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if Emmanuel Macron's approval rating exceeds 30% in the July 2026 poll; 'NO' if it does not.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No14%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 14%
- Predictions made
- 2,102
- Credits staked
- 41,059
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 25, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 15, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- info.fr, euronews.com, statista.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
Add your take...No comments yet. Start the conversation!
Related predictions
See all →🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 19 · Results Aug 21
Will China publish formal export-control rules that explicitly restrict drone exports to the United States?
65%
Stable · last 24h
181 bets · 3.8K credits2
Details →🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 10 · Results Aug 12
Did a Houthi attack on or about Aug. 9, 2026 damage a Saudi Aramco oil facility in southwestern Saudi Arabia?
60%
Stable · last 24h
168 bets · 4.6K credits3
Details →🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?
22%
-1% last 24h
688 bets · 15.4K credits4
Details →🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 21 · Results Aug 22
Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as U.S. Attorney General?
42%
+1% last 24h
22 bets · 645 credits1
Details →🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 12
Will Iran and Oman publicly announce a signed agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz?
23%
-2% last 24h
740 bets · 15.3K credits3
Details →