🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 15 · Results Aug 16
Will the US publicly say it carried out a strike inside Iran or on Iranian government facilities by 12:00 PM on August 16, 2026 (Eastern US time)?
26%
-2% last 24h
1940 bets · 40.7K credits6
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PoliticsResults Jul 15
Will President Trump's approval rating fall below 35% in the July 2026 poll?
64%
Stable · last 24h
📊 552 bettors💎 10.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 15🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if President Trump's approval rating is reported as below 35% in the July 2026 poll. It will resolve to 'NO' if the approval rating is 35% or higher.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No64%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 64%
- Predictions made
- 552
- Credits staked
- 10,441
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 29, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 15, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- newswire.com, news.gallup.com, pewresearch.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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