🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
74%
+1% last 24h
547 bets · 21.5K credits6
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 13 · Results Jul 14
Will Matthew A. Schwartz be confirmed as a U.S. Circuit Judge on July 14, 2026?
53%
Stable · last 24h
📊 248 bettors💎 5.2K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 14🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if Matthew A. Schwartz is confirmed as a United States Circuit Judge for the Second Circuit on July 14, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Senate. It will resolve to 'NO' if he is not confirmed on that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 53%
- Predictions made
- 248
- Credits staked
- 5,222
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jul 13, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 15, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- senate.gov, democrats.senate.gov, banks.senate.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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