🔬Science
Closes Aug 31 · Results Sep 1
Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?
70%
-10% last 24h
2447 bets · 56.8K credits6
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ScienceResults Jul 15
Will Tropical Storm Earl become a Category 1 hurricane before landfall on July 15, 2026?
41%
Stable · last 24h
📊 164 bettors💎 4.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 15🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if Tropical Storm Earl strengthens into a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall in the United States on July 15, 2026. It will resolve to NO if it does not reach Category 1 status before landfall.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 41%
- Predictions made
- 164
- Credits staked
- 4,912
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jul 10, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 15, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- nhc.noaa.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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