🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 24 · Results Aug 25
Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?
9%
Stable · last 24h
1595 bets · 41K credits1
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 15
Will a ceasefire hold in the Russia-Ukraine conflict through July 15, 2026?
23%
Stable · last 24h
📊 353 bettors💎 7.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 15🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if an official ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is declared and holds through July 15, 2026, as reported by mainstream news outlets. It will resolve to 'NO' if no such ceasefire is declared or if it is broken before July 15, 2026.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No23%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 23%
- Predictions made
- 353
- Credits staked
- 7,713
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jul 9, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 12, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 15, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- cfr.org, investing.com, bssnews.net
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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