Will Zack Polanski resign as leader of the Green Party?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than October 31, 2026, Zack Polanski publicly and explicitly resigns from the office/title "Leader of the Green Party" and two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that he has ceased to hold the leadership. Otherwise NO. • Evidence can be a signed or quoted statement from Polanski, a Green Party press release, or an unambiguous party confirmation that he is no longer leader. • An announcement of intent that does not result in him ceasing to hold the leadership by the deadline counts as NO. Temporary leave, suspension, or calls for resignation that do not end his leadership count as NO. Forced removal or a party vote that results in him no longer being leader by the deadline counts as YES. • Source: BBC News.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 78 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

22%

Predictions made

78

Credits staked

1,361

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 9, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 22% and NO 78%, based on 78 predictions and 1.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Zack Polanski resign as leader of the Green Party?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Zack Polanski resign as leader of the Green Party?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.