Will Volcán de Fuego de Colima deposit ash in Colima or Jalisco on August 21?

🤖 Context

RESOLVES YES if, by the resolution date, at least one official bulletin, communique, or a mainstream Mexican news article quoting an official source states that ash from Volcán de Fuego de Colima was observed on the ground or deposited within the administrative boundaries of the State of Colima or the State of Jalisco at any time on August 21, 2026, local time between 00:00 and 23:59. Reports that only show ash aloft or a satellite plume with no observed ground deposition count as NO, and unverified social media posts without citation to an official agency or a credible news outlet do not count. If an authoritative agency issues and later retracts a deposition confirmation, use the agency's final public statement as of the resolution date.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 22, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Volcán de Fuego de Colima deposit ash in Colima or Jalisco on August 21?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Volcán de Fuego de Colima deposit ash in Colima or Jalisco on August 21?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.