Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

77%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h
The market resolves YES if an official advisory from the appropriate tropical‑cyclone warning centre (for example the National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center, or the national meteorological service of the landfalling country) or credible reporting by at least two major news organisations (AP, Reuters, BBC, CNN, etc.) explicitly states that Hurricane Lala made landfall (i.e., the cyclone's center moved ashore) on any land area no later than August 27, 2026. Otherwise the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a week left and Lala yet to make landfall, it looks unlikely. Historical patterns show systems usually land well before the deadline; I'd bet no here.

77%
Stable · last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h

63%
-11% last 24h

26%
-48% last 24h
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