Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

77%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the cyclone designated Tropical Depression Two‑C is explicitly upgraded to tropical‑storm status and given an official tropical‑storm name in a public advisory or statement by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) or the National Hurricane Center (NHC) no later than August 27, 2026. If the system is later merged or re‑identified, count YES only if advisories explicitly say the upgrade and name apply to the cyclone originally designated Two‑C. A post‑season reanalysis name first published after August 27, 2026 does not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and current status, it's likely that Tropical Depression Two-C will be upgraded to a tropical storm before the deadline. CPHC and NHC typically act quickly in these situations.

77%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h

63%
-11% last 24h

26%
-49% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy