🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 30
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1737 bets · 60.4K credits44
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ScienceOpened Aug 20 · Results Aug 28
Will Tropical Depression Two‑C become a named tropical storm?
25%
Stable · last 24h
📊 134 bettors💎 2.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 28🤖 Context
The market required Tropical Depression Two‑C to be explicitly upgraded to tropical‑storm status and assigned an official tropical‑storm name in a public advisory or statement from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center by August 27, 2026. The National Hurricane Center issued advisories using the name Moke, including Advisory Number 20 titled Remnants Of Moke, and contemporaneous reports record the upgrade at 11:00 HST on August 21, 2026. Because the NHC publicly upgraded and named Two‑C as Tropical Storm Moke before August 27, 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes25%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence explicitly report that Tropical Depression Two‑C was upgraded to tropical‑storm status and given the name Moke before Aug 27, 2026. The NHC issued advisories using the name (the NHC bulletin 'Remnants Of Moke' — Advisory Number 20 — confirms the system had been named Moke), Watchers.news reports the upgrade occurred at 11:00 HST on 2026-08-21, and Fox Weather likewise states 'Tropical Depression Two‑C strengthened into Tropical Storm Moke.' These independent reports corroborate the upgrade and naming prior to the market deadline.
Source: nhc.noaa.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 25%
- Predictions made
- 134
- Credits staked
- 2,658
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 20, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 28, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nhc.noaa.gov, watchers.news
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 4 💎
Given the timeline and current status, it's likely that Tropical Depression Two-C will be upgraded to a tropical storm before the deadline. CPHC and NHC typically act quickly in these situations.
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