Will Hurricane Lala reach Category 4 intensity?

🤖 Context

YES if, at any time no later than August 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM Hawaii Standard Time (HST), an operational advisory or public statement from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or another official forecasting center reports 1-minute sustained winds for Hurricane Lala of at least 130 mph (≈209 km/h), i.e. Saffir–Simpson Category 4. Multiple major news organizations explicitly reporting that an NHC advisory stated Category 4 also counts as YES. Gusts alone, post-storm reanalysis, or best-track increases issued after the deadline do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

10

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 28, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 1 prediction and 10 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Hurricane Lala reach Category 4 intensity?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Hurricane Lala reach Category 4 intensity?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.