Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

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YES if the National Hurricane Center issues an advisory that designates and assigns an official name to a tropical or subtropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin no later than August 31, 2026. Otherwise NO. A name assigned later by post-season reanalysis does not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only days left until the deadline and no cyclones named yet, it's looking unlikely. Betting against a late surprise seems wise here.

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63%
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