Will Tropical Storm Moke prompt a formal emergency declaration or a mandatory evacuation in any Hawaii county?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM HST (UTC−10:00), any Hawaii county government (City & County of Honolulu, Maui County, Hawaii County, or Kauai County) or the State of Hawaii publicly issues a formal state‑of‑emergency declaration or a mandatory evacuation order explicitly attributed to Tropical Storm Moke. Official county or state press releases or a statement from the Hawai‘i Emergency Management Agency are preferred, but the fact may also be proven by at least two major news organisations directly quoting the official declaration. Voluntary advisories, “be prepared” notices, non‑mandatory shelter recommendations, or pre‑existing emergency declarations not explicitly tied to Moke do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 118 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

52%

Predictions made

118

Credits staked

3,137

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 18, 2026

Closes

Sep 23, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 24, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 23, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 52% and NO 48%, based on 118 predictions and 3.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Moke prompt a formal emergency declaration or a mandatory evacuation in any Hawaii county?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Moke prompt a formal emergency declaration or a mandatory evacuation in any Hawaii county?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.