🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11
Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?
53%
-1% last 24h
1600 bets · 48.1K credits20
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PoliticsOpened Oct 7 · Results Nov 8
Will the UK Green Party be suspended, expelled, or temporarily excluded?
32%
Stable · last 24h
📊 456 bettors💎 12.5K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Nov 8🤖 Context
YES if, between October 7, 2026 and no later than November 7, 2026 inclusive, the European Green Party issues a public, formal statement or decision that the UK Green Party is suspended, expelled, or temporarily excluded from membership, or if at least two independent credible news outlets report that the European Greens adopted such a suspension or expulsion. Otherwise NO. • A mere demand for clarity, a call for investigation, internal discussion, or an unadopted proposal does not count. • Source: European Green Party.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No32%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 32%
- Predictions made
- 456
- Credits staked
- 12,473
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Oct 7, 2026
- Closes
- Nov 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 9, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 3 comments
- 🔥
The UK Green Party (the Green Party of England and Wales) has not been suspended or excluded as a national political party. However, the party has faced severe political isolation, local power-sharing collapses, and regulatory scrutiny following its October 2026 conference vote.
- 🚀
the procedure is underway and will not be completed today
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the time frame and the recent tensions within the party, a formal statement from the European Green Party seems likely. They're not one to shy away from serious actions against members.
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