🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
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962 bets · 33.7K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Aug 14 · Results Sep 1
Will the U.S. House pass the funding measure the Senate approved on Aug. 8, 2026?
28%
Stable · last 24h
📊 429 bettors💎 7.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 1🤖 Context
The rule required that, by August 31, 2026, the U.S. House vote on the House floor to adopt the exact same funding measure that the U.S. Senate approved on August 8, 2026. The Senate approved H.R.6500 on August 8, 2026 and congressional records show the measure was returned to the House as 'Passed Senate with Changes' that same day, while news outlets reported the House would not be back in session until the first week of September. There is no official House roll call or credible reporting showing the House adopted the Senate's identical text by August 31, 2026, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No28%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Senate approved H.R.6500 on 2026-08-08 (Senate roll-call confirms passage) and Congress.gov shows the measure was returned to the House as “Passed Senate with Changes” on 2026-08-08. Contemporary reporting (Roll Call, NOTUS, AP coverage of the Senate action) states the House would not be back in session until the first week of September and that the Senate-passed measure would require a House floor vote when the chamber reconvenes. The supplied official record and news coverage contain no evidence that the House voted on or before 2026-08-31 to adopt the Senate’s amended/approved text (identical measure). Therefore the House did not vote to adopt the exact same Senate-approved funding measure on or before 2026-08-31.
Source: congress.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 28%
- Predictions made
- 429
- Credits staked
- 7,925
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 14, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- congress.gov, rollcall.com, senate.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🐼
They get off break on the 31st and it is up for vote. I think it will go through.
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 6 💎
The House will likely pass the Senate's funding measure before the deadline. With about two weeks left, both parties need to avoid a funding gap, which makes this probable.
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