🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
73%
Stable · last 24h
531 bets · 21.1K credits6
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 12 · Results Sep 20
Will the U.S. announce new targeted sanctions tying Iran or Iran-linked actors to the Saudi pipeline attack?
36%
Stable · last 24h
📊 1837 bettors💎 56.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 20🤖 Context
YES if, no later than September 19, 2026, two or more independent U.S. or international news outlets report that the U.S. government (for example via the White House, the U.S. Department of the Treasury, or the U.S. Department of State) has publicly announced new targeted economic sanctions and the announcement explicitly ties those sanctions to the Saudi pipeline attack described in the AP article. Preferably this appears in an official U.S. government press release, but two or more independent news reports of such an announcement are sufficient. Announcements of sanctions for other reasons, or new export controls that do not explicitly link the measures to the pipeline attack, do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No36%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 36%
- Predictions made
- 1,837
- Credits staked
- 56,116
- Comments
- 32
- Opened
- Sep 12, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 20, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 24, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 32 comments
- 🦉
Deadline passed: no new American sanctions have been announced explicitly related to the attack on the Saudi pipeline. The sanctions taken against actors linked to Iran concerned other networks and motives. The specific criterion of the market is therefore not met: NO.
- 🐼
The US has been imposing broad sanctions on Iran’s oil, weapons, and cyber operations networks, as well as threatening secondary sanctions on countries trading with Iran,
- 💀
Got to keep it going for the win
- 🐷
They will I a. Sure
- 🚀
No
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