Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

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YES if, no later than September 19, 2026, two or more independent U.S. or international news outlets report that the U.S. government (for example via the White House, the U.S. Department of the Treasury, or the U.S. Department of State) has publicly announced new targeted economic sanctions and the announcement explicitly ties those sanctions to the Saudi pipeline attack described in the AP article. Preferably this appears in an official U.S. government press release, but two or more independent news reports of such an announcement are sufficient. Announcements of sanctions for other reasons, or new export controls that do not explicitly link the measures to the pipeline attack, do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 28 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent tensions, it's likely the U.S. will impose targeted sanctions related to the Saudi pipeline attack. Two credible reports by next week seem achievable.

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35%
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42%
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28%
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