Will the SPD hold a 'Parteikonvent' (party convention)?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if two or more independent German national news outlets, or an SPD press release, document that the SPD convened and held a meeting explicitly described as a 'Parteikonvent' on any date no later than December 31, 2026. If the meeting is not described as a 'Parteikonvent' or is postponed outside December 2026, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 18%, based on 285 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

18%

Predictions made

285

Credits staked

5,467

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 21, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 2, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 2, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 18% and NO 82%, based on 285 predictions and 5.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the SPD hold a 'Parteikonvent' (party convention)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the SPD hold a 'Parteikonvent' (party convention)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.